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Ukrainian special forces claim they attacked a Russian oil depot in Crimea.On November 10th, gold futures extended their gains, rising above the $4,100 mark. Saxo Bank analysts stated, "Despite rising bond yields again, investors remain willing to increase their exposure to precious metals." Market participants are weighing signs of a weakening US economy and progress toward ending the government shutdown. Analysts said, "The reopening of the government will restore data flow and reignite expectations for a December rate cut, but more importantly, it will refocus market attention on the deteriorating US fiscal outlook." Traders also continue to price in expectations of a December rate cut, despite the Federal Reserve maintaining a cautious stance—a particularly favorable scenario for non-interest-bearing gold.On November 10th, Rabobank FX strategist Jane Foley stated in a report that the dollar could rise if the delayed official US data is positive. The end of the US government shutdown will allow official data releases to resume. She believes this data could improve the outlook for the US economy. The dollar has recently rebounded after a poor first half of the year, partly due to reduced pessimism surrounding the US growth outlook. Foley stated, "The dollar has recently received additional support from the view that market expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve may be too high."Israeli government spokesperson: Any decisions regarding the trapped Hamas militants will be made in cooperation with the Trump administration.Federal Reserves Daly: Historically, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been more divided in the past than it is now.

ETH Bulls in the Need of Shanghai Hard Fork Updates for $1,700

Jimmy Khan

Jan 31, 2023 16:19

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ETH saw a rough day's start, dropping to a low of $1,567 in the morning. ETH rose to a late high of $1,661, avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) around $1,550. To close the day at $1,645, ETH overcame the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,601 and the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1,629


Bitcoin (BTC) gained 3.11% on Sunday. After losing 0.16% on Saturday, BTC gained 4.55% for the week to reach $23,746. For the first time since August 19, BTC avoided falling below $23,000 and reached a new 2023 high of $23,962.


After a choppy start to the day, BTC dropped to an early low of $23,000 before moving. BTC surged to a late high of $23,962, avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $22,876. BTC surpassed the key resistance levels and finished the day at $23,746. Late support was provided by the Third Major Resistance Level (R3) at $23,639

Delivered by Fed Policy Sentiment and Easing FTX Contagion Support

On Sunday, there were no outside market factors that might have given BTC, ETH, and the larger market direction. Price support was provided by market bets on a Fed interest rate rise of 25 basis points on Wednesday and a less aggressive interest rate path to achieve the target inflation rate.


Another benefit for riskier assets would be if interest rates followed a less aggressive trajectory, which would reduce the likelihood of a harsh landing.


Lessening FTX contagion risk continues to be the major driver for the crypto market in the short run.


However, the most recent White House statement added another another layer of regulatory ambiguity for cryptocurrency investors to traverse. The SEC may intensify its mantra of regulation by enforcement without providing the cryptocurrency market with a clear regulatory roadmap in response to calls for lawmakers and regulators to increase regulatory control.


Investors should keep an eye on the cryptocurrency news wires today for developments on FTX and Genesis, as well as talk around the Shanghai hard fork. Investors should be on the lookout for any hints that the scheduled March hard fork timing may be delayed.


The NASDAQ Index will probably have an impact during the afternoon session before Wednesday's interest rate announcement.