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On July 13, French President Emmanuel Macron posted on social media on the 12th that France and the European Commission strongly opposed the US announcement that day to impose a 30% tariff on EU exports from August 1. Macron wrote that in the context of EU unity, the European Commission should demonstrate the EUs determination to defend its own interests. If Europe and the United States cannot reach an agreement before August 1, the EU should mobilize all tools, including anti-coercion mechanisms, to speed up the preparation of "credible countermeasures." France supports the European Commission and the United States to step up negotiations in order to reach an agreement acceptable to both sides before August 1.European Council President: The EU remains fully supportive of efforts to reach a fair agreement with the United States.July 12, Mathieu Savary, chief European strategist at BCA RESEARCH: Trumps strategy is to make outrageous demands, then let them fall through, and then once again try to win some last-minute concessions and then reach a trade deal. We remember a framework during Trumps first presidency, and thats whats happening now. It doesnt matter what is said now; what matters is where we will land. It is expected that the EU will eventually "have to accept a 10% tariff, but this is something the EU can actually deal with.The German Industry Association: The trade conflict between the EU and the US damages economic recovery and international trust. It calls on Germany, the EU and the US to seek a solution as soon as possible to avoid escalation.EU spokesperson: The United States notified the EU in advance of a letter regarding the imposition of a 30% tariff on EU goods from August 1.

Diversified Energy Exposure: Top Trade Opportunities

Cory Russell

Apr 20, 2022 10:36

A major oil ETF, XOP (SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF), has gained 25% since mid-February and 135 percent since 2021. (shown below). Similarly, the biggest energy ETF by market value, XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF), which has majority sector exposure from Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels, has gained by 14% since mid-February and 107 percent since 2021.


This year's energy bull market has been extraordinary, with energy assets outperforming the entire market by a wide margin. The long-term performance of these instruments, on the other hand, has been rather flat. Since 2017, XLE and XOP, for example, have grown by 3% and -18%, respectively.


For investors, especially volatility traders, the current, turbulent situation of the energy industry gives an intriguing opportunity. Traditional energy instruments' negative long-term performance, combined with their significant concentration on two politicized commodities, calls for a more diversified strategy to energy exposure. 


With the expanding popularity of electric cars, rising global computing needs, and major countries renovating their energy infrastructure, there may be longer-term concern about the health of the energy market. Clean energy stocks and ETFs are one method to obtain exposure to energy while also diversifying against the oil-and-gas-specific issues that have a large influence on the wider energy market.


While many renewable energy assets are still too volatile for active retail traders, a few have seen significant development in recent years. Plug Power (PLUG), a hydrogen fuel cell firm, and ICLN (iShares Global Clean Energy ETF), which invests in global clean energy shares, are two instances of very liquid companies. 


Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP), which owns and runs renewable generating assets, and TAN (Invesco Solar ETF), which invests in global solar energy firms, are two less liquid (but still tradable) examples. Since 2017, the clean energy ETFs, ICLN and TAN, have outperformed the oil and gas ETFs by 164 percent and 344 percent, respectively, compared to the oil and gas ETFs.


Clean energy ETF assets have been generally uncorrelated with the big energy ETFs in recent months, providing exposure to energy as well as diversification versus conventional energy assets.


As of March 25, indicated volatilities for XLE, 48 percent for XOP, 43 percent for ICLN, and 49 percent for TAN were 36 percent, 48 percent, 43 percent, and 49 percent, respectively, for several energy assets (compared to 22 percent for SPY). Throughout Q2 of 2022, keep an eye on energy assets, and combining conventional energy assets with clean energy assets is a good strategy to have a more diversified energy exposure.

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