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On October 25th, local time, Sudans Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announced their control of Bara, a major city in North Kordofan State, central Sudan. The statement stated that the RSF launched a full-scale offensive against the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)-held city, inflicting thousands of casualties and injuring hundreds, ultimately securing full control of the city. The statement also stated that retaking Bara is a significant step toward full control of the Kordofan region. The SAF has yet to respond to the statement.Pakistans Defense Minister: We see Afghanistans desire for peace, but failure to reach an agreement will mean open war.On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.

Despite a Large Gain in US Crude Inventories, Oil Prices Finished up 4%

Haiden Holmes

Apr 14, 2022 09:34

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The improvements come only one day after both benchmarks gained more than 6%. The oil market has fluctuated dramatically as end consumers and dealers attempted to assess the interruption in Russia's daily shipments after its invasion of Ukraine. The majority of estimates vary between one million and three million barrels per day.


"At the end of the day, the market is being driven by some of the stories coming out of Russia, which is getting more dangerous, and which continues to be a concern," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. "There is still dispute about the extent to which this will have an effect."


President Joe Biden of the United States accused Russia of genocide on Tuesday, and the United States, France, and Germany all committed to provide more weaponry. Biden included artillery systems, armored personnel carriers, and helicopters in his list.


Major global trading houses intend to cut crude and gasoline imports from Russia's state-controlled oil businesses as early as May 15, sources said, in order to avoid violating European Union sanctions on Russia, the world's second biggest crude exporter.


Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Moscow can simply divert energy exports away from the West. Certain nations, particularly India, have continued to purchase Russian oil at substantial discounts. 


The International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for global demand on Tuesday, claiming that increased global production may offset Russian oil supply reductions. The IEA forecasts that Russian production would fall 1.5 million barrels per day in April before increasing to close to 3 million barrels per day in May.


The White House will release 180 million barrels from US reserves over the next six months, as part of a 240 million barrels release from International Energy Agency members.


The United States' output is predicted to continue growing, from 11.8 million barrels per day today to over 12 million in 2022. Exports of refined goods hit an all-time high, as strong international demand reduced US stocks.


The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has said that it would be difficult to compensate for anticipated supply losses from Russia and will thus refrain from pumping more petroleum.