• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Samsung Electronics: System LSI business revenue hit a record high in the first half of the year.Samsung Electronics: Profits are expected to continue to grow in the second half of the year.On July 30th, Huatai Macro Research Report stated that the FOMCs decision to hold rates steady in July somewhat eroded the Feds credibility, leading to rising inflation expectations and higher long-term interest rates. We believe the probability of a Fed rate hike in September remains high. The unexpectedly hawkish FOMC meeting in June resulted in tighter financial conditions, lower inflation expectations, and increased Fed credibility. However, with energy prices rising again, the market may have begun pricing in Warshs claim of zero tolerance for inflation as mere rhetoric. The subsequent rise in inflation expectations and long-term yields suggests that the Feds credibility may have been somewhat eroded. We reiterate our baseline forecast of a high probability of a September rate hike, 1-2 rate hikes this year, and 2 rate hikes before mid-next year. The risks remain: ① Warsh may have been merely bluffing; ② The AI boom may abruptly end, leading to tighter financial conditions and making a rate hike unnecessary. Pay attention to the July-August employment/inflation data and Warshs Jackson Hole speech on August 27th.Samsung Electronics reported a net profit of 71.3 trillion won for the second quarter, compared to market expectations of 68.5 trillion won. The chip divisions operating profit for the second quarter was 89.2 trillion won.On July 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose nearly 7% on Wednesday. As large-scale airstrikes reignited in the Middle East, market hopes for an impending end to the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran were dashed; meanwhile, US government data showed domestic crude oil inventories had fallen to multi-year lows, exacerbating concerns about supply reductions. UBS analyst Giovanni Staúnovo stated that the renewed military strikes in the Middle East and Iranian officials reiterating their intention to control shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz (despite a significant reduction in oil flow through the strait) further pushed up oil prices. On Wednesday, the US and Saudi Arabia launched strikes against Iranian-backed groups in Iraq, accusing them of drone attacks on Saudi oil facilities. Hours earlier, the US military announced it had successfully thwarted an Iranian raid targeting US forces in the region. Iran, in turn, stated it fired on ships in the Strait of Hormuz and US bases in Jordan.

DAX, FTSE 100 Forecast: Key Levels to Watch

Cameron Murphy

Apr 08, 2022 11:16

REPRIEVE OF THE DAX TO BE SHORT-TERM

DAX: The equities market is taking a more upbeat tone as European bourses try to recover from yesterday's steep losses. Despite the temporary respite, risk assets remain vulnerable to negative threats. Last week's failure at the 14800 pivot signals that this region will continue to restrict relief rallies in the index, making it a good place to avoid. A break below 14000, on the other hand, paves the way to 13500-13600.


While Fed speakers will be scrutinized, little new information is anticipated, given what has already been revealed in the FOMC minutes and Fed Governor Brainard's aggressive remarks. However, as we get closer to the May FOMC meeting, risk assets are expected to come under pressure, thus stocks remain a sell on relief rallies.

THE FTSE 100 CONTINUES TO BE UNDERPINNED BY HIGHER COMMODITY PRICES

FTSE 100: Despite a small drop in the index, the FTSE 100 has outperformed its main peers. Given the large exposure to commodity-related firms, the index has managed to scrape out moderate gains year to far, rising 2.5 percent. In terms of technical analysis, the index seems to be fatigued after failing to hold above 7600.


On the downside, support may be found between 7500 and 7515-30. The FTSE 100, however, is not the greatest option for investors seeking for downside, since rising commodities prices give a moderate degree of support, when compared to indexes with significant tech exposure.