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February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Markets Continue to Pull Back

Daniel Rogers

Jul 01, 2022 11:07

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WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has declined dramatically during the trading session on Thursday to break down below the $107 level. At this point, it appears like the market is going to test the big trend line from previously, and so I think it’s probably only a matter of time until we see substantial movement one way or the other. If we do break down below the uptrend line, the next target will be the $100 mark. Breaking below that level then opens up the chance of entirely shifting the trend. It is worth mentioning that the rest of the commodities markets have suffered a blow to the face, therefore oil is the “last man standing.” 

Brent Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Brent markets definitely appear quite similar, since they are challenging the uptrend line beneath which is closer to the $107 level. If we break down below there, then the Brent market is expected to travel to be $100 level where it will start to tangle with the 200 Day EMA. Breaking down below that of course would be pretty bad as well, setting off what would officially be termed a “downtrend.”

 

On the other side, if any one of these markets rebounds off the uptrend line, then it appears like they are going to try to save themselves. That being said, the previous couple of days have seen a genuine shift in momentum, and it does imply that more problems is on the way. Consequently, I am not too enthusiastic about holding crude oil at the moment. The markets are simply way too risky.