• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
August 12th - According to statistics from the Guangdong Branch of the General Administration of Customs, in the first seven months of this year, Guangdongs foreign trade import and export reached 6.49 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, accounting for 21.6% of the national total and contributing 24.9% to the national import and export growth. Guangdongs import and export scale continues to rank first in the country. Specifically, exports reached 3.8 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.8%; imports reached 2.69 trillion yuan, an increase of 37.4%; and the trade surplus was 1.11 trillion yuan, narrowing by 24.5%. Looking at the monthly data, the import and export scale has maintained double-digit growth from January to July this year. In July alone, Guangdongs import and export reached 1.01 trillion yuan, an increase of 19%, maintaining its position above one trillion yuan after breaking the one trillion yuan mark for the first time in June. Specifically, exports reached 582.48 billion yuan, an increase of 7%; and imports reached 423.46 billion yuan, an increase of 40.7%.The onshore yuan closed at 6.7456 against the US dollar at 16:30 on August 12, up 1 point from the previous trading day.On August 12th, a research report from Yide Futures pointed out that ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait have recently encountered frequent attacks, increasing navigational risks. Shipping data shows that only 6 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday (August 10th), and the daily number of ships passing through has been 11 over the past 10 days, significantly lower than the normal level of 125-140 ships. Our tracked shipping data also shows that both Middle Eastern seaborne exports and imports from the four Asian countries (China, Japan, India, and South Korea) have declined compared to the previous month. Considering that Saudi Arabia and the UAE are using pipeline detours, it is estimated that the Strait of Hormuz only needs to recover to 70% to be considered normal, but the current navigation situation is far below the pre-war 70%. Our valuation model shows that WTIs valuation remains around $76/barrel, and the current geopolitical premium has returned to $7/barrel. Overall, under the influence of geopolitical disturbances, oil prices will continue to exhibit high volatility and wide-range fluctuations. (This content and opinion are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.)IEA Monthly Report: Middle East oil exports peaked at 20 million barrels per day in early July, but then fell to 12 million barrels per day later in the month.On August 12, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that with the renewed escalation of the war with Iran, even as the impact of high oil prices on demand intensifies, global oil inventories will still fall by more than double the previous forecast this quarter. In its monthly report, the IEA stated that the global oil market will face a supply gap of 1.8 million barrels per day due to "a new round of hostilities and shipping disruptions" hindering production recovery, and the supply gap could reach its largest level in five years by 2026. The IEA revised its forecast for the decline in global oil demand this year by nearly 50% to 1.6 million barrels per day, while global inventories are tightening again. This would be the largest annual average demand decline since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The IEA expects that the reduced global inventories will be replenished next year as the oil market returns to a supply surplus. The agency stated that member countries such as the United States, Japan, and Germany need to replenish their emergency oil reserves after announcing record releases of oil reserves in March.

Bear Flag Chart Pattern Strategy

Denton Salvage

Jan 18, 2022 11:55

Today's trading method is about among one of the most reliable extension patterns, the Bear Flag Pattern. Our bear flag chart pattern technique will give you a structure to overcome the market patterns.

 

Our group at Trading Strategy Guides is working hard to assemble the most detailed guide on different chart pattern methods.

 

Among the first experiences most day investors learn when they start trading is price action trading. One of one of the most preferred rate activity patterns you may have come across is the bear flag pattern.

 

The bearish flag is an extremely basic extension pattern that creates after a strong bearish trend.

 

It does not truly matter if your favored timespan is the 5-minute graph or if you favor a long-term graph. The bear flag pattern appears with the same frequency on all time structures.

 

A continuation pattern, like the bearish flag, brings some excellent news due to the fact that it tells you after the marketplace has decreased, that it will certainly remain to drop a lot more.

 

If you missed out on the initial sell-off, the market has actually do without you, as well as you spot the bear flag pattern on that particular chart, this is an indication and also a safe place to sell so you can delight in the remainder of the bearish trend.

 

We're additionally mosting likely to provide you with a very clear step-by-step set of regulations so you can trade the Bear Flag graph pattern strategy by yourself.

 

Moving forward, we're mosting likely to discuss what makes a great bear flag pattern. We will certainly highlight five fundamental trading regulations to dominate the marketplaces with the Bear Flag graph pattern approach. You can likewise read the basic yet lucrative method.

What is a Bear Flag Pattern?

A bear flag pattern is constructed by a descending pattern or bearish pattern, followed by a pause in the fad line or combination area. The strong down move is likewise called the flagpole while the consolidation is likewise referred to as the flag.

 

In other words, the bearish flag graph pattern is composed of 2 components:

  1. Initially, the flagpole, which is constantly pointing downwards

  2. And also, second, the flag element

 

Currently ...

 

You're possibly questioning:

 

"How does a bearish flag appear like?"

 

See the chart below:

 

image.png


The bear flag pattern comes after a solid action downwards. The stronger the step, the bigger the earnings possibility is.

 

As you can see in the figure listed below, after the marketplace makes a strong down move, it enters into combination-- a really slim variety-- to adapt to the brand-new reduced prices.

 

image.png


The bearish flag pattern has some similarities with the Rectangle Chart Pattern. The difference is within the rectangular shape pattern, the rate activity is moving flat in a much bigger trading range.

 

Next off ...

 

Let's see just how to trade the bearish flag pattern like a pro.

Exactly how to Trade a Bearish Flag Pattern? 

The prospective sell signals produced by the bear flag are straightforward.

 

The best trade entrance is when the price breaks below the flag.

 

See the bear flag example below:

 

image.png


The breakout of the flag signals that the downtrend prepares to resume.

 

Remember that the little consolidation aka the flag is a duration of time out or improvement in the bearish fad. Usually, the rate should not retrace more than 50% of the pole.

 

Now ...

 

The fact concerning trading chart patterns is that they can be found in various sizes. So, no 2 bear flag patterns will certainly look the same-- there will constantly be some small variations.

 

Now, when the rate moves in the opposite instructions-- suggesting the flag pole is pointing upwards, we have the bull flag chart pattern, which is the opposite of the bear flag.

 

See below the distinctions between the bull and bear flag formations.

Bullish Flag Pattern vs Bearish Flag

A bull flag is similar to a bear flag other than the pattern instructions is up.

 

The favorable flag developments can be recognized by a solid uptrend followed by a pause in the fad that has the shape of a flag.

 

See the bull flag pattern instance listed below:

 

image.png


So, you just shake up the bear flag and also you obtain the bull flag.

 

If you wish to learn just how to trade the bullish flag pattern like a pro, please check our guide.

 

Moving forward ...

 

Let's see when the very best time to trade the bear flag is.

When Should You Trade the Bear Flag Pattern?

The optimal time to trade the bear flag wants the cost breaks an assistance level.

 

The standard approach of trading outbreaks of support and also resistance degrees is to sell as quickly as we break listed below support and also buy as quickly as we break the resistance level.

 

This trading strategy is not without imperfection.

 

Let me clarify:

 

Going after prices lower after a breakout wishing to catch a piece of the action is always a negative suggestion, for several factors.

 

First, you take the chance of offering the low of the day, due to the fact that you're selling after the price has actually already relocated dramatically reduced. And also, second of all, the danger to award ratio of such professions is constantly altered versus the investor.

 

So, you have 2 solid factors not to take the breakout.

 

If you still wish to maximize the volatility that arises from a breakout, a far better strategy is to wait for the bear flag to appear on the cost graph.

 

See the chart below with an instance:

 

image.png


The bear flag development supplies trades with encouraging risk-reward ratio and also clear entry and also leave points.

 

Now, the downside is that you're mosting likely to miss some of these outbreaks if the bear flag doesn't establish on the cost chart.

 

In this situation, you can always use this breakout trading strategy as well as uncover exactly how the pros trade breakouts.

 

In the following area, you'll uncover what is going on behind the scene.

 

Continue reading ...

The Psychology behind Bear Flag Pattern 

The bear flag pattern highlights a trading setting where the supply and also need balance has changed badly in one instructions of the marketplace (supply > demand). Consequently, this will certainly generate really little upside retracement, which permits the flag structure to materialize.

 

image.png


After the initial selloff, individuals that missed out on the train will certainly worry and begin offering. Even more individuals will certainly market it throughout the flagpole phase.

 

Throughout the time out or the slim loan consolidation, people wait to obtain a higher rate so they can offer. But because the supply and need equation is so imbalanced, this won't take place. We get another hit that will certainly make many individuals chase after the move to the drawback once again.

 

Now, let's see how you can properly trade with the Rectangle chart pattern technique and also exactly how to make benefit from basically utilizing nude charts. You can also review quit loss forex for much better trading.

Bear Flag Pattern Strategy-- Sell Rules 

Now that you're familiar with the bearish flag formation, allow's go through a simple detailed guide. It will certainly frame a simple trading technique for you to skim the marketplaces.

 

The best aspect of the bear flag pattern is that there's an extremely simple means of knowing how low it will send out the currency rate.

 

We've done something different with the Bear flag chart pattern technique. We're mosting likely to educate you a new means on just how to trade the bearish flag.

 

Now is the moment to go through the bear flag graph pattern approach detailed overview: 

Step 1: Look for proof of a previous bearish trend. For a legitimate bearish flag, you need to see a sharp decline. 

Just because you can identify the bear flag pattern, does not imply you have to leap directly into the market and also trade it.

 

image.png


Remember, we need the best context and the best rate structure requires to align for a tradable bearish flag.

 

So, the initial step is to determine the market pattern prior to the flag price formation.

 

First, a valid bearish flag requires a sharp decline. This is strong proof of a bearish trend and that the supply and also demand is out of balance.

 

Keep in mind The sharp move is also the Flagpole-- the first component of the bearish flag structure.

 

Step 2: Identify the flag rate formation. The price action needs to move in a slim range in between two identical lines.

 

The flag cost formation is the 2nd aspect of the bear flag pattern.

 

Generally, all you require to do is to spot one assistance as well as one resistance degree. It must include the cost activity in a very slim array.

 

The slim range is key for the bear flag pattern success rate.

 

image.png


Thus far, so good.

 

Currently, we require to establish an access method for our bear flag pattern strategy.

 

See below:

 

Step 3: Cost the closing candle that produces the Flag Outbreak.

 

After we determine the market pattern and also the attributes of an excellent bearish flag pattern we need to wait on confirmation that the trend will return to.

 

There are two basic strategies to go into the marketplace with the bear flag pattern. Hostile investors will certainly get in on top of the bearish flag as this will certainly secure a little bit of bigger profits.

 

If you're a traditional investor you can wait on confirmation given by the flag breakout.

 

image.png


Our team at TSG likes to take the traditional strategy as well as wait on a break as well as close listed below the bearish flag prior to performing the profession.

 

The bear flag chart pattern technique just looks for trading chances when you get an outbreak listed below the flag price structure to be a vendor.

 

The following essential point we require to establish is where to position your safety quit loss.

 

It is essential when looking at this sort of method to maintain every little thing in the context of the general market. Way too many investors will try to zoom on

 

See below ...

 

Step 4: Place the safety stop-loss a little over the Flag.

 

The Rectangle chart pattern method offers you a simple means to quantify threat because you can place your safety stop-loss a little over the flag rate framework.

 

We're accomplishing 2 points with our tight quit loss:

 

1. Tiny losses.

 

2. Greater threat to reward ratio.

 

image.png


With such a tight quit loss you'll have the convenience of losing numerous trades in a row due to the fact that with the amazing RR the bearish flag can possibly erase all your losses in a solitary profession and still come rewarding.

 

The next sensible point we require to establish for the bear flag pattern approach is where to take revenues.

 

See below ...

 

Step 5: Take Revenue target amounts to the very same rate distance of the Flag post measured down from the top of the bearish flag.

 

The book profit target is the height of the flag post gauged down from the top of the flag.

 

Our team at TSG has actually found out that the market likes this sort of cost proportions as well as we such as to benefit from it.


image.png

Suggestion