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Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: 1. Overnight, gold prices initially declined before rebounding. Spot gold recovered to $4,500/ounce, up 0.08%, while SHFE gold rose 1.03%. US initial jobless claims data was released, showing 206,000 claims this week, lower than the expected 210,000, indicating resilience in the job market. After a significant rise in gold prices the previous day, some profit-taking led to intraday volatility. The US Treasury expanded its long-term bond repurchase program, causing yields on long-term US Treasury bonds to rise again. US Treasury Secretary Bessenter stated that a single long-term bond repurchase could exceed $4 billion, emphasizing the Treasurys powerful toolbox, which further eased market concerns. However, expanding long-term bond repurchases cannot solve the problem of high US fiscal debt; the policy itself is a support measure after the bond market crash, and the market may gradually return to rationality. Short-term gold volatility has intensified. 2. On the geopolitical front, according to Xinhua News Agency, the US military has quietly established a shipping channel in and out of the Strait of Hormuz, ensuring that "millions of barrels" of oil are transported out of the Strait of Hormuz daily. This operation has been ongoing for several weeks. The rapidly growing US Treasury bond, concerns about stagflation, the stalemate in US-Iran negotiations, and the Federal Reserves indecisiveness regarding a September rate hike have fueled safe-haven demand for gold, potentially driving gold prices to maintain a relatively strong upward trend.The UKs July public sector net borrowing and seasonally adjusted retail sales figures will be released in ten minutes.On August 21, the Chongqing Municipal Peoples Government issued the "Chongqing Municipal 15th Five-Year Plan for the Construction of a Beautiful Chongqing (2026-2030)," which proposes to promote the low-carbon upgrading of transportation equipment. The plan calls for actively promoting new energy vehicles, advancing the electrification of public sector vehicles, and promoting the application of pure electric and hydrogen fuel cell commercial vehicles. It also calls for the construction of zero-carbon transportation corridors, establishing "zero-carbon corridors," implementing the scrapping and replacement of old operating vessels, and promoting new energy and clean energy-powered vessels. Furthermore, it aims to promote energy-saving and carbon-reducing retrofits of existing transportation infrastructure and construct a number of low-carbon stations, wharves, and highway service areas.Market news: Members of the SK Hynix South Korean labor union will vote on the provisional wages and labor agreement for 2026 from August 24 to 25.On August 21, analysts at Daiwa Capital Markets noted in a report that European Central Bank policymakers may have been somewhat relieved so far by the relatively limited indirect impact of the energy shock on other commodity prices. "Of course, the pressure is mainly concentrated in the early stages of the production chain and in industries most vulnerable to oil and gas prices," they stated. However, with wholesale oil and gas prices rising again in recent weeks, the risk of further exacerbation of the indirect transmission effect and a second round of price impacts lasting longer is also increasing.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Nears the Greed Zone on BTC Return to $22,000

Florala Chen

Feb 16, 2023 15:25

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Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 1.95% on Tuesday. BTC finished the day at $22,198, reversing a loss of 0.11% from the previous day. For the second time in seven sessions, BTC displayed green.


Before acting, BTC dropped to a low of $21,555 in the early afternoon. After avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) around $21,450, BTC surged to a high of $22,339 in the middle of the afternoon.


 Before finishing the day at $21,198, BTC momentarily passed through the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $22,228 and the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $22,001.

Silvergate Bank News and Ante-Gensler Chatter Delivered BTC Support

US economic figures on Tuesday caused BTC to reach a session low. Compared to an anticipated 6.2%, the US annual inflation rate decreased from 6.5% to 6.4% in January. Investors anticipated a more pronounced decline of inflation, despite inflation softening, to lessen the prospect of interest rates exceeding 5%.


However, afternoon support and a BTC rebound to $22,000 were given by the cryptocurrency news channels.


The bullish session was influenced by the news out of Washington, D.C. A hearing titled Crypto Crash: Why Financial System Safeguards are Needed for Digital Assets was conducted on Tuesday by the Senate Banking Committee. Gary Gensler and the SEC's shortcomings were brought to light by concerns about their regulation through enforcement and lack of SEC advice to crypto companies.


Legislators noted Gensler's appearances on morning talk programs and called for him to testify as soon as possible.


Participants in the cryptocurrency sector are expecting that Congress would grant the CTFC more monitoring authority after Gensler and the SEC's approach to regulating the digital asset area came under scrutiny.


Following a spike in SEC action that resulted in a settlement with the SEC and the termination of US cryptocurrency staking services from Kraken and Paxos, respectively, the Senate Committee Hearing was held (BUSD).


The endorsement of Silvergate Bank by Citadel Securities Group was also positive for the cryptocurrency market. The hedge fund has a 5.5% investment in the cryptocurrency-linked bank, according to a filing with the SEC on Tuesday. Silvergate Capital Corp (SI) grew by 18.01% as a result on Tuesday. The stock has fallen 86.6% during the last year, however.


This month, Silvergate Bank has received attention. News that the US Justice Department was looking into Silvergate Bank's interactions with FTX and Alameda Research broke earlier this month.