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On April 16th, Mao Shengyong, Deputy Director of the National Bureau of Statistics, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the economic performance in the first quarter was remarkable, fully demonstrating the strong resilience of my countrys economy. Data shows significant improvements on both the supply and demand sides. Agricultural production was performing well, industrial added value increased by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, and the service sector maintained rapid growth. On the demand side, the year-on-year growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods in the first quarter was 0.7 percentage points higher than the previous year, fixed asset investment growth turned positive, and the total import and export volume of goods achieved its highest quarterly growth rate in nearly five years. Given the high economic growth rate in the first quarter of last year, the fact that the economy has still achieved a good start this year fully demonstrates the resilience of the Chinese economy.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The G7 believes there is no urgent need to coordinate actions on private credit.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first quarter, 200.26 million hogs were slaughtered, up 2.8% year-on-year; and the number of hogs in stock at the end of the quarter was 423.58 million, up 1.5%.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: It is impossible to predict when the current situation will end and what its spillover effects will be.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: Many central bank officials are taking a wait-and-see approach because raising interest rates could have a negative impact on the economy.

As risk appetite grows and interest rates reach 3.30 percent, the US Dollar Index is likely to fall below 104.70

Daniel Rogers

Jun 16, 2022 11:37

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The US dollar index (DXY) has had a significant dip from opening flat and is expected to extend its losses after going below Wednesday's low of 104.66. As a result of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) announcement of a 75 basis point rate hike, the DXY became very volatile (bps). Although the long-term assumption was 50 basis points, last week's announcement of a stronger US inflation data of 8.6% boosted the chances of a big rate hike. Sharply declining US Treasury rates imposed intense selling pressure on the asset. On Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries plummeted 5.50 percent. The benchmark yield at the time of writing is 3.29 percent. After nearly 28 years, the Fed has issued a 75-basis-point rate increase.

 

Powell's press conference following the announcement of monetary policy It was noticed that Fed chair Jerome Powell was thankful of the solid and well-positioned economic development, which has enabled the Fed to mandate a huge rate increase. In addition, persistent employment growth in the US economy has prompted the Fed to take a firm position on interest rates. The excessive policy tightening of an economy affects growth predictions. The Federal Reserve considers it a success if inflation rates fall to roughly 2 percent and the unemployment rate remains at 4.1%.

 

Wednesday's publication of US Retail Sales data was eclipsed by the Fed's interest rate announcement. The monthly Retail Sales were negative, coming in at -0.3 percent, which was much lower than both estimates and the prior reading of 0.2% and 0.7%, respectively. In contrast, the Retail Sales Control group was recorded at 0%, which was below both expectations and the prior reading of 0.5%.