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April 4th - Data released by the General Statistics Office of Vietnam shows that Vietnams economy slowed compared to the previous quarter due to heavy reliance on Middle Eastern oil imports. Vietnams GDP grew by 7.83% in the first quarter, lower than the 8.46% in the fourth quarter of last year. The Vietnamese governments growth target for this year is no less than 10%, but this target is currently under pressure. Vietnam imports over 80% of its crude oil from the Middle East, and oil shipments from the region have been disrupted due to the conflict with Iran. Rising fuel prices have forced Vietnamese airlines to scale back operations and prompted authorities to introduce cost-control measures, including reducing fuel taxes, subsidizing prices through government-controlled funds, and encouraging remote work to reduce consumption.Note: Vietnams March trade balance and March import year-on-year rate have not yet been released.April 4th - According to China State Railway Group, the national railway system is expected to transport 21.9 million passengers today (April 4th), with 1,173 additional passenger trains planned. Yesterday, the national railway system transported 18.252 million passengers, with transportation proceeding safely, smoothly, and orderly.According to Fox News: United Airlines has confirmed that starting Friday, baggage fees for passengers who purchase tickets will increase by $10, reaching $50.According to the Wall Street Journal, both U.S. and Iranian officials have stated that the damage caused by last months Iranian drone strike on the U.S. embassy in Saudi Arabia was more severe than previously disclosed.

As a result of the Fed's hawkish stance, the AUD/USD has fallen below 0.6600, shifting market focus to PMI data

Alina Haynes

Sep 22, 2022 14:57

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The Australian dollar was trading below the 0.6600 US dollar support level during the Tokyo trading session. As a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the asset is tumbling like a pack of cards (Fed). The two-day downtrend has resumed, and the asset is now trading below the round-number support of 0.6600. The asset is expected to have support close to the 0.65 level.

 

Investors believed the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) for a third time in a row. Volatile hawkish counsel has had an effect on risk-sensitive and commodity-linked currencies. The Fed has put off job growth, economic prospects, the housing market, and demand for durable goods in order to maintain price stability, which is its core goal.

 

The target for maturity rates is 4.6%, which is significantly higher than the previous peak of 3.6%. Because of this, the distribution of loans will be slowed and the market liquidity will decrease. Lenders may also see an increase in their delinquency fees as a result. Since fewer loans are being made available, some companies may delay expansion plans.

 

The financial markets in Australia will be closed on Thursday for National Mourning Day. Accordingly, the performance of the US dollar index will continue to be scrutinized closely (DXY). The S&P Australian PMI data is expected to be issued on Friday, and investors will continue to keep a close eye on it. It is expected that the Manufacturing PMI would rise from 53.8 to 54.0. While we expect the Services PMI to drop from its current 50 to a much more modest 47.7.