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July 19th - A study released on the 18th by the Italian Confederation of Business, Tourism and Services Businesses indicates that with increasingly frequent extreme weather events, prolonged heatwaves could cause Italy economic losses of €6 billion to €12 billion (approximately RMB 46.5 billion to 93 billion) annually. The report points out that if Italy experiences 30 to 60 days of extreme heat each year, businesses will face multiple pressures, including rising energy costs, decreased labor productivity, forced increases in adaptive investments, and reduced turnover. High temperatures will also alter consumer and tourism habits, further impacting the commerce and tourism sectors.On July 19th, local time, on the evening of July 18th, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei stated that the United States repeated violations of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (Iran-US Memorandum of Understanding) once again proved that the signature of the US president was "worthless and invalid." In a statement, Khamenei emphasized that the US actions exposed "bullying, power politics, and barbarity" as integral parts of American behavior and style. He stated that the US "has once again revealed its true and undisguised face. This dark experience filled with evil and treachery has once again become irrefutable evidence of the USs hypocrisy, unreasonableness, breach of trust, and despicable nature. Iran and the resistance have left the US with unforgettable lessons."The UK Maritime Trade Operations Office has received a report of an incident involving a merchant vessel and military forces approximately 100 nautical miles east of Duqm, Oman. The report indicates that the tanker was affected by ongoing military activity in the area.July 19 - The Kuwaiti Fire Department reported that several Kuwaiti firefighters were injured in multiple fires sparked by Iranian attacks. Firefighters brought under control of two fires that broke out this afternoon local time, triggered by the Iranian attacks. In one of the affected areas, several firefighters and an oil industry worker were injured. The area was attacked again during the firefighting operation. Firefighters also extinguished three other fires caused by shrapnel falling into residential areas; these fires did not result in any injuries.Advisor to the Ukrainian Interior Minister: The attacks in Ukraine have reduced Russias oil refining capacity.

As Yields Approach 3%, the US Dollar Index Pursues Establishment Above 101.00

Larissa Barlow

Apr 20, 2022 09:53

In early Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a narrow range of 100.094-101.03. The asset is establishing a base before breaking through the 101.00 barrier, as the DXY has been bolstered by rising estimates of interest rates reaching 3.5 percent by the end of fiscal year 2022.

Fed Policymakers' Addresses

President James Bullard of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Fed) opened the door on Monday for the Fed to boost interest rates 75 basis points (bps) in its May monetary policy statement. The likelihood of a massive interest rate hike has increased following the US economy's March inflation reading of 8.5 percent.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans stated on Tuesday that he is "comfortable" with a rate hike cycle this year that includes two 50 basis point increases and reaches a neutral level by year's end, but he does not see the need for further hikes, according to Reuters.

US Treasury Yields Increase Significantly

For the first time in three years, 10-year US Treasury yields are attempting to breach the psychological level of 3%. Rising wagers on a prolonged era of low interest rates are boosting yields, which eventually drive the greenback higher.

 

This week's significant events include the issuance of building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, and the S&P Global PMI.

 

On the back burner are the Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's speech, and the Bank of England's (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech.

Spot Dollar Index 

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