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On May 3, according to a report by Irans Fars News Agency on May 2, Sardar Asadi, a senior official at the Khatnam Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, stated that the possibility of another conflict between Iran and the United States is high, but Iran is fully prepared. Asadi said there is evidence that the United States is not adhering to any agreements, and that the words and actions of US officials are more of a propaganda strategy to prevent a drop in oil prices and extricate themselves from "a predicament of their own making." Asadi stated that the Iranian Armed Forces are fully prepared for any "risky and foolish actions" that the United States may take.The chairmen of the U.S. Senate and House Armed Services Committees expressed deep concern over the U.S. decision to withdraw a brigade-sized force from Germany.On May 3, when asked when and how he would insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Berkshire Hathaways Vice Chairman for Insurance, Ajit Jain, gave a concise answer: "The short answer is—it depends on the price." Jain stated, "We do have a small stake in an established project to insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz. But no deals have been finalized yet." Jain also pointed out that U.S. Navy escort for the ships would be a key prerequisite for the projects coverage conditions. "If we can meet our own coverage conditions, we will insure this type of risk at a price level that we deem appropriate."On May 3, Qazem Gharibabadi, Irans Deputy Foreign Minister in charge of legal and international affairs, met with ambassadors from various countries stationed in Tehran on Saturday to discuss what he called Irans proposals to end the war and aggression launched by the US and Israel. Gharibabadi stated that Iran is fully prepared to defend itself against any attacks against its people, and that Tehran remains committed to diplomatic mediation based on national interests. He said that Iran has submitted a proposal through Pakistan as a mediator to permanently end this imposed war, and that the initiative now rests with the US, which must choose between a diplomatic path or a continued confrontational stance. He added that Iran is prepared for both scenarios to safeguard its national interests and security, while remaining pessimistic and distrustful of the US and its diplomatic sincerity.On May 3, local time, the Ukrainian presidential website announced that President Zelenskyy had signed a presidential decree approving the National Security and Defense Councils decision to impose targeted sanctions on five individuals. The sanctions were reportedly imposed because the actions of these individuals threatened Ukraines national interests, security, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. The five individuals targeted are a Ukrainian lawyer, a Ukrainian businessman, a Russian businessman, and two Russian sports promoters.

As The Dollar Rises, Oil Falls Despite Russian Supply Cuts

Skylar Williams

Feb 27, 2023 14:11

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Oil prices dipped in volatile trade on Monday, as a stronger dollar and concerns of recession risks offset gains from Russia's plans to deepen oil supply cuts.


At 04:11 GMT, West Texas Intermediate U.S. crude futures (WTI) were trading 23 cents or 0.3% lower at $76.09 per barrel, while Brent crude futures were down 30 cents or 0.36% at $82.86 per barrel.


Friday's closing prices for both indices were up by more than 90 cents.


Monday, the dollar hovered near a seven-week high after a slew of strong U.S. economic data bolstered the view that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further and for an extended period of time.


A strong dollar increases the cost of U.S. dollar-priced goods for foreign currency holders.


Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis firm Vanda (NASDAQ:VNDA) Insights, stated, "Crude continues to receive direction from the broader financial markets' sentiment."


Fears of a hawkish Federal Reserve returned to the forefront on Friday after the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.6% in January, following a 0.2% increase in December.


"Crude will undoubtedly face renewed pressure if risk aversion continues to grow," Hari predicted.


Last week, U.S. crude oil inventories reached their highest level since May 2021, according to data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). This development added to the downward pressure on crude oil prices.


"The EIA data continue to generate more questions rather than provide clarity on markets," analysts at the consulting firm Energy Aspects wrote in a note, referring to the steep supply adjustment in the data that contributed to the increase.


On the supply side, Russia intends to reduce oil exports from its western ports by as much as 25% in March compared to February, exceeding its previously announced 5% production cut for the month.


Since February 24, 2022, when Russian military entered Ukraine for the first time, oil prices have decreased by approximately six percent annually.


Russia ceased oil deliveries to Poland via the Druzhba pipeline, the CEO of Polish refiner PKN Orlen said on Saturday, a day after Poland delivered its first Leopard tanks to Ukraine.


Two weeks after the invasion, oil prices soared to a record high of nearly $128 per barrel due to supply worries, but have since retreated due to fears of a global economic decline.


Separately, investors are awaiting this week's China manufacturing surveys to determine the direction of crude demand. This weekend marks the beginning of China's annual parliamentary session, during which new economic policy goals and guidelines will be introduced.


Ning Zhang, senior China economist at UBS Investment Bank, said in a note: "We anticipate the government to reiterate the importance of growth support and call for more policy support."


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