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Futures News, June 19th - According to foreign media reports, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) edged lower on Friday as expectations that US interest rates will remain high for an extended period pressured the market, despite some support from progress on the Middle East peace agreement. LME three-month copper fell 0.54%. The likelihood of US interest rates remaining high for an extended period increased this week, with nearly half of Federal Reserve policymakers now believing a rate hike is necessary this year. Rate hikes would dampen the demand outlook for growth-dependent industrial metals. "The US interest rate outlook has a broad impact on global commodity markets, and rising rates increase costs for importers," wrote Daniel Hynes, senior commodities strategist at ANZ Bank, in a report. Initial progress on the peace agreement between Iran and the US, and the resumption of Middle East shipping, have lowered energy prices, but the sustainability of the ceasefire remains uncertain. On Friday, US Vice President Vance canceled his trip to Switzerland for peace talks with Iran. Aluminum prices stabilized after falling earlier this week, as the Middle East conflict disrupted aluminum supplies from the Gulf region, which accounts for about 9% of global aluminum smelting capacity.Sources say autonomous driving company Momenta plans to raise about $1 billion in its initial public offering in Hong Kong.Market news: Netflix (NFLX.O) is open to reaching more cooperation agreements with traditional television companies.June 19 - The Swiss Foreign Ministry announced that the planned US-Iran talks scheduled for Friday will not proceed as planned.On June 19, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with Canadian Minister of Industry Jolly, Prime Ministers Secretary to Parliament Blois, and representatives from the business community in Beijing on June 18. The two sides exchanged in-depth views on China-Canada economic and trade relations, the development of Canadian-invested enterprises in China, and key economic and trade concerns. Wang Wentao stated that both sides should fully leverage the China-Canada Joint Economic and Trade Commission mechanism as the main channel for economic and trade cooperation, consolidate the momentum of cooperation in traditional industries, vigorously expand cooperation in emerging and future industries, and strengthen the bonds of common interests. China has always valued the opinions of foreign investors and is willing to work with Canada to extend the list of cooperation and shorten the list of issues through candid dialogue and pragmatic cooperation, thereby promoting the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of China-Canada economic and trade relations.

As Fed Chair Powell endorses higher rate hikes, EUR / USD falls toward 1.0530

Daniel Rogers

Mar 08, 2023 14:00

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During the Asian session, the EUR / USD pair broke below the consolidation around 1.0550 to the downside. It appears that the major currency pair has resumed its decline, and further losses are anticipated due to pessimistic market sentiment. The currency pair is expected to find support near 1.0530.

 

Futures on the S&P 500 have lost their dead cat bounce as the motif of risk aversion gains strength. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has already reached a three-month high above 105.60, and gains are anticipated due to a general improvement in the appeal of safe-haven assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has surpassed 3.97 percent. Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, believes that increasing interest rates is "appropriate and suitable" for controlling the nation's rising inflation. He has asserted that the current monetary policy is inadequately restrictive to bring inflation down to the desired levels.

 

The extraordinary increase in payrolls reported in January has prompted contemplation of a higher termination rate than previously anticipated. Prior to this, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that February's economic data was a one-time anomaly and that price pressures would resume their downward trend beginning the following month. Consequently, investors will gain greater insight following the release of the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) data, which is anticipated to be higher at 200K compared to the previous release of 106K.

 

On the Eurozone front, investors are concentrating on German January Retail Sales data. Compared to the previously reported contraction of 5.3%, it is anticipated that the monthly data will indicate an expansion of 2.0%. As a consequence, inflationary pressures may intensify as a rebound in retail demand may boost the German Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Klaas Knot, a policymaker at the European Central Bank (ECB), stated on Tuesday that the ECB is likely to continue raising interest rates for "quite some time" following March. According to him, the current rate of interest rate hikes could continue through May if underlying inflation does not decrease significantly.