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Japans core CPI annual rate in September was 2.9%, in line with expectations of 2.90% and the previous value of 2.70%.1. All three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.31%, the S&P 500 up 0.58%, and the Nasdaq up 0.89%. Honeywell International rose over 6%, and 3M Company rose over 2%, leading the Dow Jones Industrial Average higher. The Wind US Tech 7 Index rose 0.7%, with Tesla up over 2% and Amazon up over 1%. Most Chinese concept stocks rose, with Tiger Brokers up nearly 6% and Hesai Technology up nearly 4%. 2. The three major European stock indices closed slightly higher, with Germanys DAX up 0.23%, Frances CAC 40 up 0.23%, and the UKs FTSE 100 up 0.67%, hitting a record high. European stocks were driven by strong performance in energy stocks, as U.S. sanctions on Russian oil giants pushed up oil prices, leading to gains for stocks like Shell. The UKs FTSE 100 hit a record high, benefiting from growing expectations of interest rate cuts and a rebound in bank stocks. 3. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield up 4.82 basis points to 3.489%, the 3-year Treasury yield up 5.84 basis points to 3.497%, the 5-year Treasury yield up 5.90 basis points to 3.605%, the 10-year Treasury yield up 5.35 basis points to 4.001%, and the 30-year Treasury yield up 4.90 basis points to 4.578%. 4. International precious metal futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures up 1.91% to $4,143.2 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 2.03% to $48.65 per ounce. 5. The main U.S. oil contract closed up 5.56% at $61.75 per barrel, while the main Brent crude oil contract rose 5.38% to $65.96 per barrel. 6. Most of the base metals in London rose, with LME aluminum futures up 2.07% to $2,865.00/ton, LME copper futures up 1.44% to $10,817.00/ton, LME nickel futures up 1.13% to $15,335.00/ton, LME lead futures up 1.08% to $2,012.00/ton, LME tin futures up 1.02% to $35,725.00/ton and LME zinc futures down 0.21% to $3,022.50/ton.On October 24th, German Chancellor Angela Merz expressed optimism that the United States would grant an exemption to the German subsidiary of Russian oil company Rosneft. The chancellor added that it was unclear whether the German subsidiary "needed" an exemption, as sanctions require Rosneft to own at least 50% of the business. "It currently owns exactly 50% of the subsidiary," he said. There are concerns that Rosnefts German subsidiary could be cut off from business by major clients if it does not receive a waiver from US sanctions. Oil traders, banks, and oil companies have already threatened to terminate their partnerships with the company.Japans September core CPI annual rate will be released in ten minutes.On October 24th, UK consumer confidence recorded a reading of -17, climbing to its highest level since August 2024, driven primarily by consumers taking advantage of promotions from Amazon and other major retailers. Neil Bellamy, consumer director at GfK, said: "This rise was partly driven by promotions from major retailers. After years of high inflation, savvy consumers have adjusted their purchasing strategies to maximize their money. The rebound in overall confidence masked growing anxiety about personal finances. While households assessment of the overall economic situation improved, their outlook for their own finances over the coming year deteriorated." Analyst Eamonn Sheridan said the report undermined optimism about a strong recovery in the retail sector and could continue to put pressure on the pound as it reinforces the view that households are preparing for financial tightening, which could curb consumption even during the upcoming crucial Black Friday shopping season.

Analysis of the GBP/USD exchange rate: the currency pair is unable to break through the important 1.2100 barrier

Alina Haynes

Jul 04, 2022 11:50

截屏2022-07-04 上午10.16.51.png 

 

The GBP/USD pair is aiming to exceed the potential barrier around 1.2106 in order to launch a bullish reversal from the rally. The pound bulls are hovering near the previously announced probable barrier from the Tokyo session's early hours.

 

The cable saw a significant purchasing response after hitting the two-week-old support of the 14-June low at 1.1970. When an asset's price moves in response to a buyer's bid, this usually indicates that the item is now a value bet. Currently, the likely resistance of Wednesday's low at 1.2106 is a significant hurdle for the pound bulls.

 

Closing at 1.2090, well above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), reinforces the bullish filters in place. At 1.2115, the cable is also getting close to the 50-EMA resistance level. The pound bulls will be reinforced more, though, if they can sustain growth over the same level.

 

RSI (14) has moved into the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating that a consolidation is about to take place.

 

With a strong gain above the Monday high of 1.2122, the asset is poised to reach a new high for the week of 1.2188 on Friday. A breach of the latter level will catapult the cable to Tuesday's high of 1.2292.

 

Alternatively, the dollar bulls may return if the asset falls below Friday's low of 1.1976. A replay of the same occurrence will send the asset towards the round-number support at 1.1900, followed by a bottom of 1.1777 on March 26, 2020.