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On August 14th, Li Lecheng, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, recently visited Qinghai, Gansu, and Ningxia to investigate the development of the salt lake industry and the green and low-carbon development of industry. In Golmud City, Qinghai Province, Li Lecheng visited Qinghai Salt Lake Magnesium Industry, Potash Fertilizer, and Lithium Battery Company to investigate the production of integrated salt lake magnesium, potash fertilizer, and lithium salt projects. He emphasized the need for a scientifically planned development strategy for the salt lake industry, strengthened policy support and resource guarantees, optimization and strengthening of enterprises, promotion of resource integration and industrial synergy, tackling key core technologies in salt lake resource development, improving the efficiency of potassium, lithium, and magnesium resource development and utilization, and the level of deep processing, and creating a distinctive and advantageous industrial chain.On August 14th, Oxford Economics stated that Japans plan to cut the food consumption tax will widen the fiscal deficit and push up Japanese government bond yields. Economist Norihiro Yamaguchi wrote in a report that model calculations show the tax cuts will reduce Japans annual tax revenue by approximately 5 trillion yen, a loss that will be difficult to offset through other means. The institution expects some of the tax revenue loss to be offset by non-tax revenue and spending cuts, but assumes half of that will be financed through debt. The institution predicts Japans primary fiscal deficit will worsen to 3% of GDP, subsequently improving gradually from 2029 onwards as the debt-to-GDP ratio rises and fiscal consolidation intensifies. Oxford Economics projects that by the end of 2026, the yield on long-term Japanese government bonds will rise to approximately 3%, rather than remaining around 2.8%. Although the current reaction in the bond market is relatively limited, Oxford Economics believes that as more policy details emerge, the market will begin to gradually factor in the impact of the tax cuts on the fiscal situation.August 14th - According to foreign media reports, economists are now worried that the persistent high temperatures and lack of rainfall will increasingly drag down British economic activity. Currently, about two-thirds of England has officially entered a drought state, and newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham convened an emergency meeting this week to discuss government measures to deal with the drought and wildfires. Increasing signs indicate that extreme heat is driving consumers away from high streets, impacting agricultural production, hindering construction, and dragging down labor productivity. An analysis by an agency on Friday showed that, so far, the heatwave has caused approximately £6 billion in losses to the British economy, equivalent to 0.2% of economic output. An economist stated, "The hot summer has brought yet another negative supply shock to the British economy. While the impact of the heatwave on GDP levels may only be temporary, the risk is that this heatwave could again push up prices in some sectors, thus creating new challenges for the Bank of England, which is already dealing with high inflation."A NATO military spokesperson stated that, following confirmation, an Italian Typhoon fighter jet eliminated the potential threat over an uninhabited area (regarding the earlier drone incident in Latvia).A NATO military spokesperson confirmed that NATO allied warplanes were scrambled due to a drone entering Latvian airspace.

Ackman Dumps Netflix, Losing $400 Million As Shares Plummet

Aria Thomas

Apr 21, 2022 09:46

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In January, the investor invested more than $1 billion in the streaming service, just days after the company's share price fell after a disappointing subscriber prediction. Now, a second round of terrible news concerning subscribers - the firm announced a loss of 200,000 - has forced the fund manager to abandon a company he had previously lauded.


Ackman said in a brief statement announcing the move that planned business model adjustments, such as advertising and pursuing non-paying consumers, made sense but would make the firm too unpredictable in the near run.


"While Netflix's business is essentially straightforward, we have lost confidence in our ability to forecast the company's future prospects with a sufficient degree of certainty in light of recent developments," he said.


Pershing Square, which manages $21.5 billion in assets, invests in less than a dozen firms at a time and requires a "high degree of dependability" from its portfolio companies, Ackman said.


Rather than wait for Netflix's fortunes to improve, Ackman locked in losses estimated to be more than $400 million, according to individuals familiar with the portfolio. Following the transaction, Ackman noted that Pershing Square's portfolios are down around 2% for the year.


Netflix said that it lost 200,000 customers in the first quarter, falling well short of its modest target of 2.5 million new subscribers. Its early March decision to cease operations in Russia after the invasion of Ukraine resulted in the loss of 700,000 subscribers.


Profitable hedging enabled Pershing Square to survive the pandemic's early days in 2020 and then again in recent months when interest rates started to increase. The hedge fund's performance over the previous three years has been among the highest in its history, with a 70.2 percent return in 2020.


However, Ackman admitted in his Wednesday statement that he had learnt valuable lessons during leaner times, when his firm backed Valeant Pharmaceuticals (NYSE:BHC), a catastrophic investment that lost the hedge fund billions of dollars in losses.


"One of the lessons we've learned from previous blunders is to respond quickly when we uncover fresh information about an investment that contradicts our initial assumption. That is why we chose to do it here "He wrote.