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On August 24th, at the Xiaomi Xuanjie chip technology communication conference, Xiaomi announced its new product plans. The Xiaomi 18 Fold, the top-of-the-line foldable screen flagship in the Xiaomi 18 series, will be the first to be equipped with the Xuanjie O3 chip, and the new phone is scheduled to be officially launched in September; the Xiaomi Mi Pad 9 Pro Max will also be equipped with the Xuanjie O3 chip at the same time.Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: (Refuting former Israeli Prime Minister Bennetts claim that Irans military power has been dismantled) To deal with this Iran, the United States needs to launch the "largest financial attack in history" and mobilize "all American institutions and departments"? Is this a victory or a bitter admission of defeat?Ukrainian President Zelensky: We do not ask the United States to protect us, we only hope that they will provide us with the supplies we need to defend ourselves.On August 24th, Hauke Siemssen, interest rate strategist at Commerzbank, stated in a report that the bond market remains fragile due to persistently high oil prices and escalating fiscal concerns. "Global bond markets remain risky, with yield curves across all maturities testing multi-year highs." While the market consolidation this morning was encouraging, a sustained market reversal appears unlikely at present, as there are no easy solutions to the fundamental factors driving the current trend. Siemssen anticipates that this weeks US PCE inflation data and policy signals from the annual Jackson Hole symposium will provide new guidance for the market, and these data and the meeting "should be closely watched."On August 24th, Swissquote strategist Ipek Ozkardeskaya stated that the U.S. Treasurys purchase of bonds to suppress yields could prevent the market from fully pricing in inflation and fiscal risks, and could also limit the markets ability to fully react to the Federal Reserves policy decisions. Therefore, this could increase the difficulty for the Fed to pull inflation back to near its 2% target, which is precisely what Fed Chairman Warsh might want to avoid. She added that Warsh "doesnt want to look like a fool in front of the world." Ozkardeskaya indicated that this weeks Jackson Hole meeting may further clarify how the Fed will integrate with the governments policy plans.

According to Coinbase, Bitcoin is trading near the day's lows at roughly $45,700

Drake Hampton

Apr 01, 2022 09:53

Technical Analysis of Bitcoin 

Bitcoin's most active contract month (April BTCJ2022) is trading near $45,845 on the CME's futures market. Some analysts are expecting the gap on the CME futures chart that formed between last Friday and Monday to be filled.

 

With the BTC on the CME only minutes away from a 1-hour break before re-opening on Globex, it appears like the weekend gap ($45,395 – $46,565) will be close to being eliminated, but will not be totally backfilled as of today.

 

image.png 

 

Another distinguishing feature of the CME chart over Spot charts is the presence of the 200-day simple moving average (red line). This long-term moving average is located at $48,300 in the spot market and effectively signals current resistance. While the 200-day moving average (M.A.) on the CME futures chart had been resistance since the beginning of 2022, it was breached on Monday when the price gap was developed.

 

The 200-day moving average in CME futures is $45,880, and while the market slipped below this average intra-day, as the day's trading comes to a close, this average may become support since prices are just around $100 below this long-term technical indicator.

 

Back in the spot markets, we can observe that the last two days correspond to a relatively shallow correction after the run that began in the middle of March and put BTC above $48,000.

 

image.png 

 

Looking at the charts above, we can see that the commencement of the retracement is based on two independent data sets. The 23 percent retracement level from the last 16 days (in blue) and the last 35 days (in purple) both imply that the 23 percent level is significant and stays active as either support or resistance.

 

This level is often considered as the bare minimum for classifying a price decrease as a retracement. As a result, Bitcoin closing above this level bodes favorably for bulls and indicates that there is likely more upside to come.

Bitcon Price Prediction

The last two days have done little damage to the chart, and our target for the conclusion, which might reach as high as $53,000, remains in our current model. Traders who have been taking our calls took profits on half of their positions yesterday at $48,000 and continue to be long the other half of their positions at $43,000. Protective stops should be ignored; prices came within $16 of stopping us out with a profit (on the remaining half), with lows of $45,516.

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