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According to the UAE news agency, Trump discussed cooperation between the UAE and the United States and ways to further strengthen relations in support of common interests.August 18th - Investors have reason to worry about inflation, but this may not be the primary reason for rising bond yields. In fact, inflation expectations, as measured by the breakeven rate, are quite close to the Federal Reserves long-term target of 2%. Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathaway stated, "Investors can be confident that inflation will average around 2%-2.5% in the long run, but this forecast is becoming less certain due to oil, tariffs, fiscal policy, and other supply shocks." She added that the bond sell-off is driven by "persistent inflation risks, massive government borrowing, and increasingly fierce competition for capital, rather than simply a sharp rise in expected inflation itself."International Atomic Energy Agency: No nuclear safety or security damage was reported following the drone explosion.On August 18, Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Majid Ansari stated that Qatars current diplomatic efforts are primarily focused on de-escalating the crisis and preventing further escalation. The solution lies in achieving a ceasefire between the US and Iran, opening the Strait of Hormuz and guaranteeing freedom of navigation, while simultaneously pushing the US and Iran back to the negotiating table. Ansari noted that Qatar and Pakistan previously mediated a memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran, and Qatar is working to restore dialogue between the two sides and implement the memorandum. However, due to the breach of the ceasefire, the relevant provisions have not been fully implemented. Currently, Qatar is awaiting an agreement between Oman and Iran on the Strait of Hormuz issue, hoping to use this to resume the negotiation process and prevent further escalation. Ansari also stated that the current priority is to reach an agreement that simultaneously ensures the opening of the Strait of Hormuz and a ceasefire. Qatar will continue to push all parties involved to return to negotiations to implement the previously reached memorandum of understanding or to reach an agreement to end the war.The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that the explosion injured or killed 16 employees and contractors, including one fatality and three serious injuries.

AUD/USD struggles to surpass 0.6350; Australian Inflation/US GDP under the microscope

Alina Haynes

Oct 25, 2022 15:37

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During the Tokyo trading session, the AUD/USD pair reversed its decline to trade near 0.6350. The Australian dollar is under pressure as a result of Jinping's pessimism in China. Despite a small decline in S&P500 futures following three straight bullish settlements, the risk-on inclination remains firm. Following a poor beginning in Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is attempting to retake the critical 112.00 mark.

 

The yield on 10-year US Treasury notes has reduced to 4.21 percent as a result of a positive market sentiment. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a fourth consecutive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) of 75 basis points (bps) stands at 95%.

 

According to a Reuters survey regarding the Fed's interest rate forecasts, the central bank will announce its fourth consecutive 75 basis point rate increase. According to additional results of the Reuters poll, the central bank should not terminate monetary policy until the inflation rate falls to around half of its current level. Without a question, the Fed's aggressive rate-hiking cycle increases the probability of a future recession.

 

MSNBC reported that US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen remarked, "Cannot rule out risk" of a recession, creating a huge surge in recession worries.

 

Thursday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers will dominate the news in the future. The annualized GDP is projected to climb significantly to 2.4%, compared to the earlier forecast of a 0.6% decline.

 

The Australian bulls have been shaken by the extraordinary third term of Chinese leader XI Jinping. China's economic prospects are in jeopardy, which has an effect on Australia's trade projections. Moreover, Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is increasing popularity. According to projections, the annual rate of headline inflation will rise to 7.0% from 6.1% in the previous report.


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