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US President Trump: Americans are paying higher gasoline prices, but its a "very cheap price" relative to what the US has achieved.On September 17, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) announced a 25 basis point increase in its benchmark interest rate to 4.25%. This is the first adjustment to the benchmark interest rate by the HKMA since 2023, ending a period of interest rate stability. This rate hike is a direct response to the Federal Reserves policy change on the same day. The HKMA stated explicitly that following the Feds policy is to maintain the Hong Kong dollars peg to the US dollar. Under this system, the Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, and Hong Kongs monetary policy must be linked to the US to ensure exchange rate stability. Despite the increase in the benchmark interest rate, the market remains cautious about the actual changes in local credit costs in Hong Kong. As is customary, major Hong Kong banks typically announce their own interest rate adjustment plans later that day after the HKMAs adjustment, with changes to the prime lending rate being particularly crucial.Multiple explosions were heard in Kyiv, Ukraine, in the early hours of September 17 local time.US President Trump: (Regarding Iran) I predict the war will end soon, and the government has transformed the United States from a “dark age” to a “golden age.”September 17th - US President Trump: "That war? That war will be over soon. Just watch. You just watch. Trump is right about everything. You just watch. They are being destroyed. They (Iran) very much want a deal. They call and say, We want a deal!"

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-06-08 下午12.00.41.png

 

Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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