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On June 18th, Suren Thiru of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales stated that the Bank of Englands next move is more likely to be a rate cut than a rate hike. After the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday, Thiru indicated that the central bank may enter a longer policy wait-and-see period to assess geopolitical uncertainties and domestic political instability. "British monetary policy is currently at a crossroads," Thiru said. The US-Iran peace agreement has boosted market expectations for easing inflation, but if hostilities resume, "the situation could quickly shift back towards raising interest rates." However, he stated that given the still high level of global volatility, the Bank of England is unlikely to initiate a rate cut before next year.Pfizer shares fell 1.4% in pre-market trading after Chief Financial Officer Dave Denton announced his resignation.Futures Market Summary | Thursday, June 18th, CCTV News Highlights: 1. Xi Jinping replies to Xinhua News Agency veteran Zhang Liansheng, emphasizing the importance of inheriting the red gene and writing an excellent chapter on the new journey. 2. Striving to write a new chapter in Chinese-style modernization under the guidance of Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 3. The Central Leading Group for Party Building issued a "Notice on Studying and Implementing Xi Jinpings Thought on Party Building." 4. Peoples Daily commentator article: Making a major original contribution to the development of Marxist party building theory—On studying and implementing Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 5. Han Zheng meets with guests from Canada and Denmark. 6. Accelerating the allocation of funds for "two new" projects to continuously release policy effectiveness. 7. The first report meeting of the series of reports on "Guaranteeing and Improving Peoples Livelihood in High-Quality Development" was held in Beijing. 8. Lin Dan: Serving the residents well for life. 9. The State Council Information Office held a meeting with Chinese and foreign journalists on "Striving for the New Journey." 10. The China Theatre Association, the China Folk Literature and Art Association, and the China Calligraphers Association elected a new leadership. 11. National railway transportation for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday begins today. 12. Market supply is abundant as the Dragon Boat Festival approaches. 13. Two departments urgently allocate 100 million yuan in central natural disaster relief funds. 14. The policy dividends of the six-month island-wide customs closure in the Hainan Free Trade Port continue to be released. 15. The import and export volume of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor reached a record high in the first five months. 16. my countrys first carbon footprint database for key industrial products goes online. 17. The Datengxia Hydropower Project in Guangxi passes completion acceptance. 18. The "National Recruitment Action - Beijing Trip" special event for college graduate employment services is launched. 19. Box office revenue for films in 2026 exceeds 16.5 billion yuan. 20. The 2026 China Brand Forum is held in Xiongan. 21. The official text of the memorandum of understanding signed remotely by the US President and the Iranian President is released. The Pakistani Prime Minister announces that the US-Iran memorandum of understanding takes immediate effect. 22. Russia claims that the Russian military has made significant progress in Donetsk. 23. Palestine strongly condemns Israels settlement expansion. 24. The G7 summit concluded without a joint communiqué. 25. The Federal Reserve announced for the fourth consecutive time this year that it would maintain interest rates unchanged.On June 18th, Emma Mogford of the Premier Miton Monthly Income Fund stated that the Bank of England may not need to raise interest rates this year, following the banks decision to keep rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday. "Price increases later this year triggered by the Iran war are likely to be offset by weaker demand. Furthermore, wage growth is expected to be only moderate given the relatively weak labor market." The Bank of England approved the decision with a 7-2 vote, with the two policymakers favoring a 25 basis point rate hike.Mayor of Moscow, Russia: The fire at the oil refinery is basically under control.

AUD/USD Struggles for Near-Term Direction and Flattens Below the 0.7100 Mark

Alina Haynes

May 27, 2022 09:30

During the early European session, the AUD/USD pair drew some dip buyers at the mid-0.7000s, but unable to profit on the move. The pair was last seen trading a few pips below the 0.7100 level, almost flat for the day.

 

In the lack of any shocks in the most recent FOMC meeting minutes, the possibility that the Fed may stop the rate hike cycle later this year weighed on US Treasury bond rates. This, along with a robust equities market rebound, weakened the safe-haven US currency and boosted the risk-averse Australian dollar.

 

However, the deteriorating global economic picture should temper any optimism. Investors continue to be concerned that a more aggressive effort by major central banks to curb inflation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict might pose threats to the global economy. In turn, this functioned as a tailwind for the dollar and limited the AUD/USD pair.

 

Since the beginning of this week, spot prices have oscillated within a wider trading range, even from a technical standpoint. The price response appears to indicate that markets have already priced in the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish indication that a larger interest rate rise in June remains conceivable. This demands bullish traders' prudence.

 

Now, market investors await the US data calendar, which includes the publication of Prelim Q1 GDP, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales. The data might impact USD price dynamics and create momentum for the AUD/USD pair. Traders will continue to seek clues for short-term opportunities from the wider risk mood.

AUD/USD

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