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According to futures news on November 19th, as of the week ending November 15th, Japanese commercial crude oil inventories increased by 24,205 kiloliters from the previous week to 10,403,206 kiloliters. Japanese gasoline inventories decreased by 1,025 kiloliters from the previous week to 1,650,289 kiloliters. Japanese kerosene inventories decreased by 128,388 kiloliters from the previous week to 2,536,518 kiloliters. The average operating rate of Japanese refineries was 89.9%, compared to 90.6% the previous week.According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. Army Secretary Driscoll plans to meet with Russian officials later in the day.On November 19th, the overnight SHIBOR was 1.4200%, down 10.50 basis points; the 7-day SHIBOR was 1.4870%, down 3.10 basis points; the 14-day SHIBOR was 1.5680%, up 1.80 basis points; the 1-month SHIBOR was 1.5200%, unchanged from the previous trading day; and the 3-month SHIBOR was 1.5800%, unchanged from the previous trading day.On November 19th, a Citi research report indicated that Xiaomis (01810.HK) adjusted net profit for the third quarter exceeded both the banks and market expectations, primarily due to in-line non-operating revenue and better-than-expected gross margins in the IoT, internet, and electric vehicle sectors. However, operating expenses were higher than anticipated. Management emphasized that Xiaomi has secured memory supply for 2026 and will prioritize maintaining average selling price and market share given memory price increases. Furthermore, management expects full-year electric vehicle deliveries to exceed 350,000 units, but the vehicle purchase tax subsidy policy will impact next years electric vehicle gross margin. The banks latest forecast projects smartphone shipments of 170 million and 160 million units in 2025 and 2026 respectively, with gross margins of 11.3% and 8.9%; electric vehicle deliveries are expected to remain at 400,000 and 700,000 units, with gross margins of 25.2% and 22.2%. The target price has been lowered to HK$50, while maintaining a buy rating. The bank remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of the IoT and electric vehicle businesses, but memory price increases may put short-term pressure on the share price.On November 19th, a Citi research report indicated that AAC Technologies (02018.HK) has signed an agreement to acquire shares and other equity securities of DispelixOy, an AR diffraction waveguide technology company. The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026. AAC has been collaborating with Dispelix on a strategic R&D partnership for several years, jointly developing next-generation AR devices with several leading OEM customers and collaborating with major mobile platform suppliers to develop next-generation reference design platforms. The report believes that this acquisition will expand AACs product portfolio and solution capabilities in the XR field, covering acoustics, haptic feedback, microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), camera lenses and lens modules, structural components, and waveguide technology. The report currently gives AAC a target price of HK$56 and a buy rating.

AUD/JPY bulls cheer China-inspired optimism; Japan data near 89.50 are mixed

Daniel Rogers

Dec 27, 2022 11:12

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The AUD/JPY pair creeps higher around 89.50 as bulls capitalize on the cautious Christmas market optimism. In doing so, despite the most recent dip, the cross-currency pair extends Friday's gains to hit weekly highs.

 

Nonetheless, the price increase may be linked to the risk-on market mentality, which was mostly driven by China, as well as lowering expectations of hawkish actions by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

 

As on January 8, China no longer requires inbound travelers to undergo COVID quarantine. In addition to geopolitical concerns from Russia and North Korea, the news contributed to the market's cautious optimism. S&P 500 Futures advance intraday by 0.60 percent to 3,892, while 10-year US Treasury rates remain slow at roughly 3.74% as of press time.

 

After the central bank adjusted monetary policy last week, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda and Prime Minister Fumio Kishida of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and Prime Minister of Japan (PM) Fumio Kishida, respectively, attempted to calm hawkish expectations. According to Kuroda of the BOJ, however, the broadening of the yield band is not a forerunner to an easy policy exit. In a similar spirit, Japanese Prime Minister Kishida ruled out the BOJ and government amending the central bank statement.

 

In terms of the facts, Japan's Unemployment Rate declined to 3.5% in November compared to the 3.6% predicted previously, while the Jobs / Applicants Ratio for the same month was 1.35 compared to the market prediction of 1.35. In addition, year-over-year growth in Retail Trade fell to 2.6% from 2.8% anticipated and 4.0% earlier.

 

A quiet schedule ahead of Saturday's official China PMIs and year-end market inaction will restrict AUD/JPY movement moving forward.