The integration is a significant crypto milestone that investors in ether and its problematic sibling stETH are anxiously expecting.
Its purpose is to make the Ethereum blockchain network, which serves as the foundation for numerous cryptocurrency projects, leaner, meaner, and cleaner.
It evades you. The integration was planned to take place years ago but has been repeatedly postponed. Most recently, developers decided against plans to activate the merger in June, which alarmed investors who started to worry that it would never happen.
However, market participants are already making bets that the wait will soon be over. But it's not a sure thing.
Investors have priced in a 67 percent likelihood that the update, also known as Ethereum 2.0, would materialize by October and a 13 percent possibility by September on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency platform where users can wager stablecoins on the occurrence of future events.
According to the Ethereum Foundation, who compares the merger to upgrading a spacecraft's engine in midflight, the merger will "ship" around "Q3/Q4 2022."
It would be very relieving for ether if the integration really took place since it has fallen due to previous delays and dwindling support for the upgrade. The second-largest cryptocurrency was last trading at roughly $1,200, down from a little over $3,500 in April. However, most of the recent negativity on the upgrade has been masked by larger recent market turbulence.
For investors holding staked ether, or stETH, a cryptocurrency derivative token that symbolizes ether locked up in a testing environment for the upgrade and that is difficult to redeem at scale until at least six months after the merging, the merger might also mean the end of an agony.
Still, skeptics persist
"It's simply the overwhelming amount of process. The size of Ethereum just prevents me from believing that they will meet their target in time, according to Brent Xu, founder and CEO of Umee, which is constructing a base-layer blockchain for borrowing and lending.
Because the Merge is undoubtedly going to take longer than anticipated, "they are simply frightened that their stETH is going to be for nothing," said Xu.
THE QUAKE OF STEEM
With the update, proof-of-work, which consumes a lot of energy, will no longer be used for ether mining. The new proof-of-stake consensus mechanism will be integrated with Ethereum's current execution layer.
For individuals who own stETH, a cryptocurrency project named Lido's token that may be changed into ether on a 1:1 ratio between six and twelve months after the merging occurs, any more delays would be terrible news.
Until then, the market determines the price at which stETH trades, with the majority of transactions taking place on the Curve trading platform.
According to pricing website CoinGecko, its market valuation rose to $11 billion in May. Up until last month, it traded mostly at ether's parity.
However, when cryptocurrency markets fell last month, stETH's value plummeted and it now trades at a discount of around 8% to ether as a result of significant selling by investors like Celsius and Three Arrows, according to available data.
Although the price has somewhat increased, it has not yet reached parity, in part due to the effects of the delayed merging (stETH is now trading at a 4% discount to ether).
Along with other troubled U.S.-based cryptocurrency lenders, stETH has several major investors.
Anyone interested in that trade?
While investors may "stake" their ether to earn income elsewhere, doing so requires a minimum of 32 ether, or around $38,000 at the time of writing, which is why the stETH initiative was so well-liked.
Instead, Lido gave customers the option to bet whichever little ether they want in exchange for yield and obtain stETH.
Investors in stETH, meanwhile, are becoming anxious due to the merge's ongoing delays.
According to Ryan Shea, a cryptocurrency economist at major fintech firm Trakx.io, Curve's liquidity is rapidly running out. Data from the platform shows that Curve's stETH liquidity has more than decreased in half since mid-May.
If you want to sell a significant number of stETH, you will need to find alternate sources, according to Shea, who suggested using stETH as collateral in another lending process.
But whether anybody will be willing to take that trade in this sort of atmosphere when people are thoroughly scrutinizing crypto loan firms, I don't know.
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